If the events in Ukraine are to appear as more than a series of disconnected events, you really must take the long view. So if you want to understand why it looked last night as though war was about to break out in the Crimea, perhaps take a look at this piece of analysis by Stratfor. It's a company that focuses on geography and history to explain what is happening in the world. Stratfor makes its money by signing up paying subscribers, but makes some of its work freely available. The book from which this is taken, The next hundred years, is also worth reading.
Following an exhaustive ballot, marred only by evidence of fraud, hanging-chads and bribery with menaces, I have selected nine names from among the nine students who volunteered to enjoy a free lunch in the GulbenkianÂ with our distinguished guests Sarah Ivens and Allan Little.Â Rebekah Floyd, Kelsey Williams, Becci Hughes and Nick Poskitt are cordially invited to lunch with Sarah on Friday 7Â November.Â John Saunders, Kathryn Cain, Lucy Ross-Millar, Laura Hartman andÂ Jaak Pardi are equally cordially invited to lunchÂ with Mr. Little on Monday 10 November . Â Â